CONFIRMED PREDICTION · 2024 RECORD

CME000471

First appearance 11 May 2024 · 03:24 UTC

DIRECTIONE · 78.3°East

SPEED86 km/sestimated C2 radial speed

DETECTIONS17linked frames

CONFIDENCE91.5%mean prediction confidence

Animated LASCO C2 difference frames with the CME000471 principal angle

DETECTION VISUALIZATION

LASCO C2 difference sequence

The lime line shows the predicted principal angle. CME angular width is not predicted and is intentionally not drawn. The preview is optimized for the web; original FITS and PNG frames remain in the research archive.

Download animation

MACHINE-READABLE RECORD

Stable fields and units

id: CME000471
first_appearance: 2024-05-11T03:24:05Z
last_appearance: 2024-05-11T06:36:05Z
direction: E
direction_name: East
direction_deg: 78.3
speed_km_s: 85.6
speed_available: true
speed_status: ready
speed_qc_flags
duration_minutes: 192
detection_count: 17
mean_confidence: 0.9152
peak_confidence: 0.9949
angular_span_deg: 8.3
mean_angular_step_deg: 1.3
visualization_available: true

Open JSON record ↗

FIRST APPEARANCE2024-05-11T03:24:05Z

LAST APPEARANCE2024-05-11T06:36:05Z

TRACK DURATION3h 12m192 minutes

PEAK CONFIDENCE99.49%

ANGULAR SPAN8.3°

MEAN ANGULAR STEP1.3°