CONFIRMED PREDICTION · 2024 RECORD

CME000494

First appearance 15 May 2024 · 10:48 UTC

DIRECTIONN · 15.5°North

SPEED388 km/sestimated C2 radial speed

DETECTIONS5linked frames

CONFIDENCE95.6%mean prediction confidence

Animated LASCO C2 difference frames with the CME000494 principal angle

DETECTION VISUALIZATION

LASCO C2 difference sequence

The lime line shows the predicted principal angle. CME angular width is not predicted and is intentionally not drawn. The preview is optimized for the web; original FITS and PNG frames remain in the research archive.

Download animation

MACHINE-READABLE RECORD

Stable fields and units

id: CME000494
first_appearance: 2024-05-15T10:48:05Z
last_appearance: 2024-05-15T11:36:05Z
direction: N
direction_name: North
direction_deg: 15.5
speed_km_s: 388.2
speed_available: true
speed_status: ready
speed_qc_flags
duration_minutes: 48
detection_count: 5
mean_confidence: 0.9563
peak_confidence: 0.9896
angular_span_deg: 6.8
mean_angular_step_deg: 3.2
visualization_available: true

Open JSON record ↗

FIRST APPEARANCE2024-05-15T10:48:05Z

LAST APPEARANCE2024-05-15T11:36:05Z

TRACK DURATION48 min48 minutes

PEAK CONFIDENCE98.96%

ANGULAR SPAN6.8°

MEAN ANGULAR STEP3.2°